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Another factor is demand...As the people that remember these cars from when they were new reach an age where they are no longer interested in buying new toys and projects the amount of buyer out there looking for these things is decreasing.
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My take on this might be slightly different. As we Boomers come of age, myself being the oldest (60), we (even us rich dentists) might find ourselves with some disposable income and want to relive the days of our youth. This will reflect from the top of the market (Big Healeys, Jags, etc.) down to the lower levels (MGs, TRs, etc.) and we see these cars being sought out in record numbers. Taken into consideration the value of the dollar (both US and CA) and inflated values of the LBC, the shear ravages of time causing many examples of collectable cars to dimenish, I see the initial cost of acquiring the car of your dreams as going up, up, up. I have kept a very close watch on the value of the average TR6 (and other TRs) and have seen them essentially double in the last 5 years. The average cost of any rebuildable TR6 seems to be somewhere in the neighborhood of $5K, with decently restored cars averaging in the low teens. Nicely done models go for $20K and up.
Prices going down is not an option. Indeed, the NASCAR crowd seems centered on Harleys and American Muscle, but those of us that think always gravitate back to classic cars that offer a bit of panache and verve. Methinks that the market is just opening up and the numbers interested are just starting to swell.
Bill
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I didn't mean to imply that prices would drop....It will just get harder and harder for us to sell our cars....People have many reasons to justify why their car is more valuable than others...This mentallity does drive up prices(a relatively good thing for most of us)and will continue to do so. My original point is that the number of people out there actively looking for LBC's is on the decrease...and once the boomers have exited the market(to put it nicely) There will be an even bigger decrease in the number of buyers.
3 years ago I bought a 77 MGB for $500 that had been buried in an old garage. I got it driveable and cleaned it up a bit...But it was still a car that needed tons of work. I advertised it for sale at $5,500 and within a few days I recieved my entire asking price and the car was gone. A year later I bought the LE( and I won't say what I paid becasue don't wanna see any tears /ubbthreads/images/graemlins/jester.gif) I put lots of work into it and it had become a show worthy beautifully running car. I advertised it that year at a little over double what I had advertised the 77 for......Lets just say I still own the car.
Another example; back in the early 90's I had just become a father for the first time, and purchased a new house which required alot of furniture, appliances, and other boring house stuff. So basically I needed money....I bought a bunch of TR6's(6 of them in total, within 2 years)They were all solid drivers, some better some worse. But I set a standard starting price of $8500 and 90% of the time they sold at that price in the first week. Now flashforward 15 years....I buy this 76 TR6....It's about the same condition those others were and I have it advertised for only a little more than what I used to sell them at....Again, looks like this TR6 is here to stay.....Not that I am complaining /ubbthreads/images/graemlins/driving.gif