Stock market says to root for the Yankees!!
A research firm studied the correlation between historical stock market returns and the winner of the World Series. It used 73 years of World Series history (dating back to 1935) based on average annualized returns for the S&P 500.
First, the researchers found that when the series went to six games, the average stock market return the year following was 15%. If the Phillies can force a game seven and history proves correct, the average return goes down to 8% next year.
Historically, when the Yankees have won the World Series, the average stock market return the following year was 10% and following a Phillies loss the index returned 11%.
However, following a Phillies World Series victory (1980 and 2008), the index returned 6%. Going more macro, when the National league wins the World Series the average return is 15% compared to 9% for the American league.
Interestingly, the study went back to 1935, so it left off four of the Yankee’s other World Series titles: 1923, 1927, 1928, and 1932. Adding those four years into the Yankees average, the market return improved to 13.65%.
The conclusion?
If you want the best return for the stock market next year, you should be rooting for the Yankees tonight....... Well I would like to see the series go all the way, it is the best stuff on TV !!
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